By The Spy on
June 20, 2019
If you’ve watched mortgage rates for a long time, you know how unnatural this is. The rate on a mortgage with five full years of locked-in interest expensecosts less than the rate on a non-guaranteed floating mortgage with interest risk. In fact, that difference (spread) is the lowest it’s been in decades, based on deep discount rates offered to well-qualified...
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By The Spy on
April 23, 2019
The gap between the best 5-year fixed rates and best variable rates is the smallest its been in two and a half years. We’re talking less than 1/8th of a percentage point between them. Depending on the equity a borrower has, folks can even find 5-year fixed rates that are below the best variable rates. What’s Provoking It One reason...
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By The Spy on
March 7, 2019
There’s an increasingly ominous vibe to Canada’s economic outlook, and that’s got the market taking rates down another notch. Canada’s5-year bond yield is seven basis points lower today—to 1.63% as we write this. That’s the lowest it’s been since December 2017.All told, the 5-year yield has now sank 83 basis points since the November high. With the Bank of Canada...
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By The Spy on
January 11, 2019
A regular consideration when choosing between a fixed or variable rate is the difference between them. As of late that “fixed-variable spread,” as we jargony industry people call it, has been slowly narrowing. So far, it has mostly been a result of diminishing variable-rate discounts. Just this morning, for example, TD hiked its advertised variable rate a head-turning 20 bps....
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By The Spy on
November 30, 2018
Something unusual has happened in the high-ratio mortgage world. Homebuyers with less than 20% equity are gravitating to floating-rates — more than ever in recent history. New data from the country’s top default insurer (CMHC) shows that almost a third of transactionally insured borrowers (31.3%) chose a variable- or adjustable-rate mortgage from July 1 to September 30. Jargon-Buster:“Transactionally insured” just...
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By The Spy on
July 10, 2018
Despite higher rates, a healthy slice of our population is staying open minded to variable mortgage rates. A CIBC poll today finds that: 72% of Canadians expect rising interest rates over the next 12 months (26% think they’ll stay the same) An overwhelming 83% of Canadians favour “predictability and stability over risk” when it comes to their finances (unsurprisingly) 77%...
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By The Spy on
July 8, 2018
The market is betting on rates heading higher this Wednesday. That’s bad news for mortgage shoppers. Or is it? One could argue that a rate hike on July 11 makes the fixed or variable rate decision even easier. Essentially the Bank of Canada is doing mortgage shoppers a favour. Here’s why… Closer to the Finish The higher rates go, the...
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By The Spy on
June 11, 2018
“We cannot withstand a trade war with the United States” – Rona Ambrose. When over 70% of your exports go to one country, and that country’s representativessay,“There’s a special place in hell,” for your Prime Minister, that’s a problem. This is what the state of relations has come to between two of the world’s closest allies. Given Trump’s tendency to...
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By The Spy on
May 30, 2018
Here’s the latest on today’s Bank of Canada rate announcement: Rate Decision:No change in rates Prime Rate:Remains at 3.45% Market Rate Outlook:Two more hikes in 2018 BoC GDP Outlook:2% growth in 2018 and 2019; 1.8% in 2020 BoC Statement:Click here The Money Quote: “…Developments since April further reinforce Governing Council’s view that higher interest rates will be warranted to keep...
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By The Spy on
May 3, 2018
Rising rates and new mortgage regulations aren’t enough to scare nearly 1 in 4 Canadians. That’s how many plan to buy a home within the next year. This comes from a new BMOsurvey, which also found the national average price buyers expect to pay is about $474,000. That jumps to $580,000 in Toronto and $603,000 for Vancouver buyers. Most concerning...
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