By The Spy on
June 5, 2020
The Mortgage Report – June 5 Big Drops from HSBC: The online mortgage juggernaut keeps shaking competitors’ trees. This time with Canada’s lowest bank-advertised 5-year fixed rate ever, according to our records. It’s also the first bank to crack the 2% barrier on a 5-fixed, albeit it’s for default-insured mortgages only. HSBC’s move not only reflects historically low funding costs,...
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By The Spy on
May 27, 2020
The Mortgage Report – May 27 Shop Rates, Says Bank of Canada: “The price of a mortgage can vary a lot among lenders…You’ll most likely find a lower interest rate if you do your homework and are willing to negotiate.”—Bank of Canada The BoC Does Move Fixed Rates: It’s a misconception that the Bank of Canada only influences variable mortgage...
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By The Spy on
May 22, 2020
The Mortgage Report – Weekend Edition More Sub-2% Rates: For default-insured borrowers, there’s now up to three mortgage terms in the magic 1% range, depending on your province. They include the one-year fixed, three-year fixed and variable. In coming weeks, more borrowers could strategically choose shorter fixed terms to: (a) wait for better variable-rate discounts in 2021, and/or (b) get...
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By The Spy on
May 20, 2020
The Mortgage Report – May 20 “1″-handle Rates Return: Fixed rates have once again dipped below the psychological 2% level, albeit only three-year fixed rates. It’s a threshold that, when broken, often creates incremental demand for mortgages. Normally that demand comes from refinances and purchases, but with home sales down 57% nationwide, purchases have largely dried up. Credit tightening, a...
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By The Spy on
May 16, 2020
The Mortgage Report – May 16 Now to 4.94%: Scotiabank trimmed its posted 5-year fixed rate to 4.94% on Saturday. That puts the mode average of the Big 6 Banks’ 5-year posted rates—and hence the minimum stress test rate—at 4.94%. Of note: This is the lowest the stress test rate has been since October 2017 The all-time low was 4.64%,...
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By The Spy on
May 12, 2020
Mortgage Report – May 12 Not So Timely: The government’s 5-year bond yield, which heavily influences fixed mortgage rates, peaked in October 2018. Since then, it has collapsed 212 basis points. Meanwhile, big banks have lowered 5-year posted rates just a stingy 30 basis points. The banking regulator (OSFI) considers that a problem and proposed to de-link the mortgage stress...
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By The Spy on
May 11, 2020
Mortgage Report – May 11 Hitting Triples: Borrowers would love to see 5-year fixed rates under 2% and eventually they’ll get there. But for now, banks are “reducing mortgage rate discounts to conserve profitability,” as Deloitte put it in a recent report. Alas, we’ll have to make do with the historically low rates we already have. And for all you...
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By The Spy on
May 4, 2020
The Daily Mortgage Report – May 4 Variable Advantage Fades: The lowest widely available 5-year fixed rates are now just 20 basis points more than the lowest variable rates. That differential has shrunk considerably in the last month or so, causing some would-be variable takers to give up and go fixed. RateSpy simulations confirm it would now only take two...
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By The Spy on
May 1, 2020
Tiff Gets the Nod: Canada’s most important banker will soon be Tiff Macklem. Effective June 3, he’s taking over for Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz. We’ll hear Macklem at BoC rate announcements for the next seven years and already he’s moving markets. Following his appointment Friday, he spoke of: downside risks to the economic recovery the fact that negative...
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By The Spy on
April 30, 2020
9:09 p.m. Update Southbound Fixed Rates: Lender after lender has announced fixed-rate drops this week. And with Canada’s 5-year yield closing at a record low today, it’s no coincidence. It was the first time ever that our 5-year bond closed below 0.40%. Prerequisite for Recovery: “…We need monetary stimulus to reach the ultimate borrower,” said BoC chief Stephan Poloz today....
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