By The Spy on
March 20, 2020
5:35 p.m. Update National Bank Hikes: Falling bond yields and government moves to bolster mortgage liquidity didn’t keep the country’s sixth-largest bank from lifting mortgage rates. National boosted two fixed specials today: 4-year: 2.89% to 3.29%; 5-year: 2.94% to 3.34%. Systems Hack: As if COVID-19 wasn’t enough, it turns out that the broker industry’s primary application submission platform, Filogix Expert,...
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By The Spy on
March 19, 2020
6:58 p.m. Update CMHC on Payment Deferrals: “CMHC has provided increased flexibility to defer mortgage payments on its insured homeowner mortgage loans, which means lenders are now able to defer payments on a borrower’s CMHC-insured mortgage up to six months without CMHC’s approval. Borrowers should speak to their lenders directly by going through their default management department to confirm if...
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By The Spy on
March 18, 2020
Some quick hits on the mortgage/rate market (we’ll update these throughout the day): 4:14 p.m. Update Yields Soar: Canada’s 5-year bond yield launched 13 bps today as investors sold everything that wasn’t nailed down, including stocks and bonds, and rushed into cash. Rocketing bond yields are bullish for fixed mortgage rates and we’re seeing more lenders, including banks, react by...
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By The Spy on
March 17, 2020
Some quick hits on the mortgage/rate market (we’ll update these throughout the day): 5:14 p.m. Update Behold Sub-2% Variables:Existing variable-rate borrowers with prime – 1.00% are now enjoying 1.95% mortgage rates. Some homeowners have prime – 1.30% or lower. That’s an incredible 1.65%. New borrowers can still get prime – 1.00% or better but, as noted below, they have to...
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By The Spy on
March 16, 2020
Some quick hits on the mortgage/rate market (we’ll update these throughout the day): 7:29 p.m. Update Prepare for “Prime Rate Variables”:Expect one or more major banks to hike “discounted” variable mortgage rates to prime (2.95%) on Tuesday. That’s right, there will be no more variable discount from those lenders (i.e., prime – 0%). This will essentially negate the Bank of...
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By The Spy on
March 15, 2020
The world’s most powerful central bank has slashed its main interest rate by one whole percentage point. This is the U.S. Federal Reserve’s largest emergency cut in its100+ year history. The move is a desperate bid to keep money markets functioning and stimulate borrowing and economic activity.Malls, restaurants, bars, factories, sports seasons, schools, international borders and even Vegas casinos are...
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By The Spy on
March 14, 2020
Prior to the last few days, consumers had expected falling Bank of Canada rates and lower bond yields to translate into cheaper mortgage rates. And they have, big-time. But these two benchmarks aren’t the only things that determine mortgage pricing. Borrowers were reminded this weekend that liquidity and credit risk are also in the equation. Ten days ago we noted...
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By The Spy on
March 14, 2020
Our Big 6 Banks chose not to announce their prime rates following Friday’s surprise Bank of Canada rate drop. Instead, people in a floating rate mortgage or HELOC must wait to learn how the BoC’s move will impact their budgets. Banks could take a few days or more than a week. This isn’t unheard of. Back in 2015, when the...
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By The Spy on
February 28, 2020
The global viral crisis is proving incredibly fluid. Traders have suddenly and drastically altered their expectations of how the Bank of Canada will react to this exploding economic threat. At the time this is being written, the market is predicting a 68.3% likelihood of a BoC cut next week. It’s fully pricing in a cut by April 15. Source: Bloomberg...
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By The Spy on
February 25, 2020
One of the best short-term leading indicators of 5-year fixed mortgage rates is making a beeline towards a 2.5-year low. Canada’s 5-year swap rate is now just 1/10th of a percentage point away from this key threshold, which, if broken, will lead to further fixed-rate cuts. Banks routinely price fixed mortgages against swaps, which are interest rate derivatives used to...
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