By The Spy on
January 28, 2019
Canada’s banking giants have invested massively in branches and mortgage salesforces. But now mortgages are moving online, and that creates both opportunity and conflict for the Big 6. “Canadians are predominantly using online tools as they start the homebuying journey,” says Pat Giles, VP Real Estate Secured Lending at TD. His bank, like every other, is working hard to be...
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By The Spy on
January 23, 2019
The most unexpected trend in the mortgage rate world of late has been the squeezing of variable-rate discounts. The Spy warned ofdiminishing variable-rate discounts last month. Since that time, they’ve shrunk 20 basis points on the most competitive uninsured variables, costing new borrowers over $2,300 more interest over five years on a typical $250,000 mortgage. On the insured side, the...
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By The Spy on
January 16, 2019
At long last a Big 6 bank has cut its advertised 5-year fixed rate. RBC set the trend today in lowering its “special offer” 5-year fixed rate by 15 basis points, from3.89% to 3.74%.(See: RBC mortgage rates) It only took a month and a half afterfive-year bond yields fell enough to warrant a rate cut. (Bond yields typically guide fixed-rate...
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By The Spy on
January 11, 2019
A regular consideration when choosing between a fixed or variable rate is the difference between them. As of late that “fixed-variable spread,” as we jargony industry people call it, has been slowly narrowing. So far, it has mostly been a result of diminishing variable-rate discounts. Just this morning, for example, TD hiked its advertised variable rate a head-turning 20 bps....
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By The Spy on
January 8, 2019
Five-year Canadian yields are down 60 basis points in two months. Average 5-year fixed mortgage rates are down a measly 4 basis points.* Meanwhile south of the border, where they have this thing called mortgage competition, 5-year yields are down 54 bps and average 5-year fixed rates have fallen 16 bps so far. Average rates on the most popular U.S....
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By The Spy on
January 4, 2019
Markets are “well ahead of the data.” …said the world’s most powerful banker Friday. With his comments, Fed chief Jerome Powell reminded everyone that bond markets usually price in economic slowdowns 6-24 months ahead of time. The market’s fear going into today was that the Fed would snuff out economic growth with “auto-pilot” rate hikes, that the Fed wasn’t listening...
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By The Spy on
January 2, 2019
Market rates are diving again. This morning the 5-year bond yield reached its lowest point since 2017. Investors keep rushing into safe assets (i.e., buying bonds) as the stock and oil markets continue selling off. Oil prices have slid from $75+ in October to under $45 today. That virtually eliminates any chances of a Bank of Canada hike this month....
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By The Spy on
January 1, 2019
Few years have altered the mortgage landscape like 2018. Canada experienced what is arguably the biggest mortgage rule change of all time (OSFI’s B-20 and its “stress test”). It was a policy that hammered mortgage growth to almostthree-decade lows, slashing buying power over 20% for uninsured mortgagors and forcing roughly 1 in 7 borrowers to change or abandon their mortgage...
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By The Spy on
December 28, 2018
There’s a concerning new trend with variable rates. Discounts are shrinking. In the last few weeks, at least a dozen relevant lenders have shrunk their discounts from prime rate—by anywhere from 5 to 20 bps. This includes discretionary mortgage rates at some banks. How Convenient Wouldn’t you know it? Just as variable rates start attracting more consumer interest, lenders start...
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By The Spy on
December 20, 2018
Canada’s 5-year bond yield sank to an 11-month low Wednesday as the Federal Reserve hiked U.S. rates again. But the Fed wasn’t as optimistic on the economy as some had hoped. In turn, it’s now projecting just two rate hikes in 2019, versus the prior estimate of three. On this side of the border, average core inflation dipped to 1.9%...
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