By The Spy on
June 11, 2019
Canada has a mortgage rate transparency problem. Too many lenders do not put their best cards on the table. To earn their best rate you have to dicker like you’re buying a rug at the bazaar. These rate games make borrowing cost comparisons needlessly more difficult and inefficient. And that’s exactly what some lenders are aiming for. Take this chart,...
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By The Spy on
May 25, 2019
This week, the lowest 5-year fixed rates dropped back to 2017 levels.It only took a year and a half. Canada’s cheapest 5-year fixed mortgage is now 2.67% for default-insured applicants, the lowest since December 20, 2017. And fixed rates could keep dipping near-term. What’s Behind It With global growth worries weighing on the market, 5-year bond yields can’t get any...
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By The Spy on
May 14, 2019
Do you care if some investor in China or France dumps Canadian bonds? Many would answer, no. But when foreign demand for Canadian bonds drops, other things equal, bond prices drop. And given bonds and yields (interest rates) move inversely, and given fixed mortgages are partially funded in the bond market, when overseas demand for Canadian bonds falls, it usually...
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By The Spy on
April 23, 2019
The gap between the best 5-year fixed rates and best variable rates is the smallest its been in two and a half years. We’re talking less than 1/8th of a percentage point between them. Depending on the equity a borrower has, folks can even find 5-year fixed rates that are below the best variable rates. What’s Provoking It One reason...
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By The Spy on
April 19, 2019
Mortgage regulation and higher rates changed the game in 2018, lowering the amounts borrowers could qualify for by up to 20% and reducing the incentive to renegotiate for a better rate. That had clear implications for refi volumes. UsingTeranet‘s 2018 Ontario data as a guide, the number of borrowers: refinancing with their existing lender plunged 36% (vs 2017) switching their...
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By The Spy on
March 25, 2019
It turns out TD Canada Trust’s “market-moving rate cut” won’t be so market moving, at least not yet. On Sunday, TD slashed a number of fixed rates on its website. Today it un-slashed them, saying: “Changes to our posted rates on our website were made in error. We apologize for any misunderstanding and please refer to the rates currently posted.”—TD...
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By The Spy on
March 15, 2019
Equitable Bank has slashed its reverse mortgage rates. That’s welcome news for seniors needing to tap home equity, particularly those who can’t qualify for regular financing or don’t want the payments. The company—which has remained in HomeEquity Bank’s shadow—is now working noticeably harder to separate itself from its better-known rival. And its rate cuts this week do just that, assuming...
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By The Spy on
March 7, 2019
There’s an increasingly ominous vibe to Canada’s economic outlook, and that’s got the market taking rates down another notch. Canada’s5-year bond yield is seven basis points lower today—to 1.63% as we write this. That’s the lowest it’s been since December 2017.All told, the 5-year yield has now sank 83 basis points since the November high. With the Bank of Canada...
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By The Spy on
March 4, 2019
Canada’s spring mortgage market is officially underway. HSBC kicked it off today with a head-turning 2.99% 5-year fixed rate. It’s the first time sinceSeptember 24, 2018, that Canadians have seen the best 5-year fixed ratestart with a “2.” Much has changed inthose five short months: Market expectations have gone from 100+ basis points of rate hikes in the next few...
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By The Spy on
February 26, 2019
Have you ever walked on a frozen lake and worried you’re going to fall through? That’s the feeling of many traders right now — the ones shorting Canada’s 5-year government bond. The yield on that 5-year bond is what guides fixed mortgage rates (among other things), and it’s seemingly on the verge of making a new 14-month low. The magic...
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